Mercury General Corporation (NYSE:MCY) reported today for the second quarter of 2025:
Consolidated Highlights Three Months Ended June 30, Change Six Months Ended June 30, Change 2025 2024 $ % 2025 2024 $ %(000's except per-share amounts and ratios)Net premiums earned (2) $ 1,366,738 $ 1,236,024 $ 130,714 10.6 $ 2,649,808 $ 2,402,703 $ 247,105 10.3Net premiums written (1) (2) $ 1,480,807 $ 1,355,460 $ 125,347 9.2 $ 2,795,188 $ 2,640,444 $ 154,744 5.9Net realized investment gains, net of tax (3) $ 18,549 $ 2,290 $ 16,259 710.0 $ 36,973 $ 32,461 $ 4,512 13.9Net income $ 166,472 $ 62,568 $ 103,904 166.1 $ 58,145 $ 136,030 $ (77,885) (57.3)Net income per diluted share $ 3.01 $ 1.13 $ 1.88 166.4 $ 1.05 $ 2.46 $ (1.41) (57.3)Operating income (1) $ 147,923 $ 60,278 $ 87,645 145.4 $ 21,172 $ 103,569 $ (82,397) (79.6)Operating income per diluted share (1) $ 2.67 $ 1.09 $ 1.58 145.0 $ 0.38 $ 1.87 $ (1.49) (79.7)Catastrophe losses net of reinsurance (4) $ 13,000 $ 125,000 $ (112,000) (89.6) $ 460,000 $ 197,000 $ 263,000 133.5Combined ratio (5) 92.5% 98.9% – (6.4) pts 105.4% 99.9% – 5.5 pts
(1) These measures are not based on U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”), are defined in “Information Regarding GAAP and Non-GAAP Measures” and are reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP measures in “Supplemental Schedules.”(2) Net premiums earned for the three months ended June30, 2025 includes $51 million of increased ceded premiums earned. The Company paid and recorded $101 million of reinstatement premiums in the first quarter of 2025 to reinstate the fully exhausted reinsurance coverage layers of its catastrophe reinsurance treaty ending June 30, 2025 following the Palisades and Eatonwildfires in January 2025, $50 million of which was earned in the first quarter of 2025 and $51 million in the second quarter of 2025. Both net premiums earned and net premiums written for the sixmonths ended June30, 2025include $101 million of increased ceded premiums due to the reinstatement premiums noted above.(3) Net realized investment gains before tax was $23 million and $3 million for the three months ended June30, 2025 and 2024, respectively, and $47 million and $41 million for the six months ended June30, 2025 and 2024, respectively. The changes in fair value of the Company's investments are recorded as part of net realized investment gains or losses in its consolidated statements of operations due to the adoption of the fair value option for its investments as permitted under GAAP.(4) The majority of 2025 catastrophe losses resulted from the Palisades and Eatonwildfires in California and severe storms in Texas and Oklahoma. The majority of 2024 catastrophe losses resulted from tornadoes, hailstorms and convective storms in Texas and Oklahoma and winter storms and rainstorms in California. Catastrophe losses net of reinsurance for the threeand six months ended June30, 2025 was reduced by approximately $50 million and $575 million, respectively, from subrogation recorded on the Palisades and Eaton wildfires.(5) The Company experienced unfavorable development of approximately $4 million and $14 million on prior accident years' loss and loss adjustment expense reserves for the three months ended June30, 2025 and 2024, respectively, and favorable development of approximately $47 million and unfavorable development of approximately $8 million on prior accident years' loss and loss adjustment expense reserves for the six months ended June30, 2025 and 2024, respectively. The year-to-date favorable development in 2025 was primarily attributable tolower than estimated losses and loss adjustment expenses in the private passenger automobile line of insurance business, and the homeowners line of insurance business, including favorable development on prior years' catastrophe losses. The year-to-date unfavorable development in 2024 was primarily attributable to higher than estimated losses and loss adjustment expenses in the commercial automobile and commercial property lines of insurance business and catastrophe losses, partially offset by favorable development in the private passenger automobile line of insurance business.
Investment Results Three Months Ended June 30, Six Months Ended June 30, 2025 2024 2025 2024(000's except average annual yield)Average invested assets at cost (1) $ 5,703,599 $ 5,536,170 $ 5,686,645 $ 5,450,760Net investment income (2) (3)Before income taxes $ 78,759 $ 68,970 $ 160,238 $ 133,989After income taxes $ 66,021 $ 57,966 $ 133,872 $ 112,814Average annual yield on investments (2) (3)Before income taxes 4.7% 4.5% 4.7% 4.5%After income taxes 3.9% 3.8% 4.0% 3.8%
(1) Fixed maturities and short-term bonds at amortized cost; equities and other short-term investments at cost. Average invested assets at cost are based on the monthly amortized cost of the invested assets excluding cash for each period.(2) Net investment income includes interest income earned on cash of approximately $12.5 million and $6.2 million ($9.9 million and $4.9 million after tax) for the three months ended June 30, 2025 and 2024, respectively, and approximately $25.6 million and $11.9 million ($20.2 million and $9.4 million after tax) for the six months ended June 30, 2025 and 2024, respectively. Average annual yield on investments does not include interest income earned on cash.(3) Higher net investment income before and after income taxes for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025 compared to the corresponding periods in 2024 resulted largely from higher average yield combined with higher average invested assets and cash. Average annual yield on investments before and after income taxes for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025 increased compared to the corresponding periods in 2024, primarily due to the sale of certain low-yielding investments with a total fair value of approximately $600 million in January 2025 to provide ample liquidity for claims resulting from the Palisades and Eaton wildfires, combined with the replacement of certain lower yielding investments with higher yielding long-term investments, as a result of recent increases in certain long-term market interest rates.
The Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.3175 per share. The dividend will be paid on September 25, 2025 to shareholders of record on September 11, 2025.
Updated Information Regarding the Palisades and Eaton Wildfires
In January 2025, extreme wind-driven wildfires caused widespread damage across parts of Southern California, primarily in the communities of Pacific Palisades and Altadena. The two largest of these Southern California wildfires are known as the Palisades and Eaton wildfires. The Company recorded net catastrophe losses and loss adjustment expenses (“LAE”) before taxes from the Palisades and Eaton wildfires of approximately $359 million in its consolidated statements of operations for the six months ended June30, 2025. The following table presents the components of net losses from the Palisades and Eaton wildfires as of June30, 2025 and March31, 2025:
For the Six For the Three Months Ended Months Ended June 30, 2025 March 31, 2025 (Amounts in thousands)Gross losses and loss adjustment expenses $ 2,153,000 $ 2,149,000Subrogation recoverable – Eaton fire (1) *** (528,000) (525,000)Subrogation recovered and recoverable – Palisades fire (2) *** (46,500) -Reinsurance recovered and recoverable (3) (1,293,500) (1,293,500)Net catastrophe losses and loss adjustment expenses on Eaton and Palisades fires before Fair Plan $ 285,000 $ 330,500Company's share of Fair Plan losses and loss adjustment expenses (4) $ 99,000 $ 108,500Recoupable portion of Fair Plan losses and loss adjustment expenses (5) (25,000) (25,000)Net Fair Plan losses and loss adjustment expenses $ 74,000 $ 83,500Net losses and loss adjustment expenses on Eaton and Palisades fires $ 359,000 $ 414,000
__________(1) The Company is actively pursuing subrogation against Southern California Edison (“SCE”) on the Eaton fire. The Company recorded approximately $528 million in estimated subrogation recoveries, or approximately 55% of its estimated ultimate losses on the Eaton fire, as an offset against loss and loss adjustment expense reserves in its consolidated balance sheet at June30, 2025, and thereby reduced losses and loss adjustment expenses by the same amount in its consolidated statements of operations for the six months ended June30, 2025. Although SCE has not admitted that its equipment caused the Eaton fire, significant evidence indicates that SCE's equipment was the cause of the Eaton fire. In addition, SCE has disclosed that it is probable that SCE will incur material losses from the Eaton fire. For utility caused California wildfires occurring since 2017, the utility companies, including SCE, have paid out average amounts equal to over 60% of the losses incurred with a range as low as 55% to over 70%. The Company believes that SCE has the wherewithal to settle the subrogation claims on the Eaton fire in a similar range of settlement amounts as on the recent past wildfires. SCE also has access to the California Wildfire Fund which provides additional funding to reimburse member utilities to pay wildfire claims. Based on the grounds described above, including the history of settlement payouts on prior wildfires by SCE and other utility companies in similar situations where the utility equipment caused the wildfires and such companies settled the subrogation claims without admitting fault, the Company believes $528 million is a reasonable estimate of probable recovery on the Eaton fire.(2) In June 2025, the Company sold its subrogation rights on the Palisades fire to a third party for a guaranteed percentage of losses incurred plus a share in the amount recovered above a certain threshold (“Upside Recovery'). The recovery amount from the guaranteed percentage of losses is approximately $47 million, with $27 million received as of June 30, 2025. The remaining balance of approximately $20 million at June 30, 2025 will be settled each quarter based on the amount of claims payments the Company makes subsequent to the previous settlement date. The Company recorded the total sale price of approximately $47 million as an offset against losses and loss adjustment expenses in its consolidated statements of operations for the six months ended June 30, 2025. The Company did not record an amount for the potential Upside Recovery.(3) The Company's catastrophe reinsurance program for the treaty year ended June 30, 2025 provides approximately $1,290 million of limits on a per occurrence basis after covered catastrophe losses exceed the Company's retention of $150 million. It also allows the Company to consider catastrophe events that occur within a 150-mile radius as a single occurrence or separate occurrences for reinsurance purposes. The Company treated the Palisades and Eaton wildfires as one event for reinsurance purposes exhausting the full $1,290 million of limits and paid reinstatement premiums of approximately $101 million. The $1,290 million of limits used for the Palisades and Eaton wildfires was reduced by $6.5 million for ineligible parametric coverage. The Company also utilized $10 million from a separate property excess of loss reinsurance treaty making the total reinsurance used for the Palisades and Eaton wildfires approximately $1,294 million.(4) The Company is a member of the California FAIR Plan, the state's fire insurer of last resort. To the extent the FAIR Plan has losses exceeding its capital and reinsurance coverage, the FAIR Plan can assess its member companies for the shortfall based on each company's California market share. The FAIR Plan had significant losses from the Palisades and Eaton wildfires, and the Company's share of the FAIR Plan losses from the Palisades and Eaton wildfires was approximately $99 million (an amount based on information provided to the Company directly from the FAIR Plan), which was recorded as part of the Company's losses from the Palisades and Eaton wildfires in its consolidated statements of operations for the six months ended June 30, 2025.(5) The FAIR Plan assessed the Company $50 million to strengthen the FAIR Plan's capital position following the Palisades and Eaton wildfires in the first quarter of 2025. The California DOI allows for recoupment of 50% or $25 million of the $50 million assessment via a temporary surcharge to the Company's policyholders. The Company has filed with the California DOI to begin recouping the $25 million, which partially offset the Company's share of the FAIR Plan's losses of $99 million. Accordingly, the Company recorded a net loss of $74 million for its share of the FAIR Plan's losses from the Palisades and Eaton wildfires in its consolidated statements of operations for the six months ended June30, 2025.*** Accounting Standards Codification (“ASC”) 944-40-30-2 through 3 and Statement of Statutory Accounting Principles (“SSAP”) No. 55 paragraph 15 require salvage and subrogation recoverables to be deducted from the liability for unpaid claims; therefore, loss and loss adjustment expense reserves on the Company's consolidated balance sheets is shown net of estimated salvage and subrogation recoverables, and losses and loss adjustment expenses on its consolidated statements of operations is shown net of salvage and subrogation. The Company applies this accounting method for salvage and subrogation in a consistent manner for both GAAP and statutory reporting purposes.
As of June30, 2025, the Company has paid out approximately $1,320 million for losses and loss adjustment expenses related to the Palisades and Eaton wildfires. Through June30, 2025, the Company has billed reinsurers $933 million for the losses and loss adjustment expenses paid and as of July15, 2025, 100% of that amount has been collected. On July16, 2025, the Company billed the reinsurers $225 million for losses and loss adjustment expenses paid subsequent to the previous reinsurance billings.
Catastrophe Reinsurance Premiums
The Company exhausted the catastrophe reinsurance limits on the Palisades and Eaton wildfires, which triggered a full reinstatement of the limits with payment of $101 million of reinstatement premiums, and accelerated expensing of the remaining premiums on the original limits into the first quarter rather than over the first and second quarters. The following table shows the impact of catastrophe reinsurance utilization on ceded premiums written and earned compared to a pro-forma showing those premiums without any use of catastrophe reinsurance limits:
Six Months Three Months Second Quarter Ended Ended 6/30/2025 3/31/2025 2025 (Amounts in thousands)Pro-forma if Company had used $0 of reinsurance limitCeded premiums written $ 52,000 $ 26,000 $ 26,000Ceded premiums earned 52,000 26,000 26,000Amount recorded based on 100% of reinsurance limit usedCeded premiums written (original Limit) 52,000 52,000 -Reinstatement premiums written 101,000 101,000 -Total ceded premiums written $ 153,000 $ 153,000 $ -Ceded premiums earned (original limit) 52,000 52,000 -Reinstatement premiums earned 101,000 50,000 51,000Total ceded premiums earned $ 153,000 $ 102,000 $ 51,000Difference in reinsurance premiums between $0 limit used (pro-forma) and fulllimit used (recorded)Ceded premiums written $ 101,000 $ 127,000 $ (26,000)Ceded premiums earned $ 101,000 $ 76,000 $ 25,000
_________ Note that ceded premiums written and earned are recorded as reductions to the Company's net premiums written and earned, respectively.
Mercury General Corporation and its subsidiaries are a multiple line insurance organization offering predominantly personal automobile and homeowners insurance through a network of independent producers and direct-to-consumer sales in many states. For more information, visit the Company's website at www.mercuryinsurance.com.
The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a “safe harbor” for certain forward-looking statements. Certain statements contained in this report are forward-looking statements based on the Company's current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effects on the Company. There can be no assurance that future developments affecting the Company will be those anticipated by the Company. Actual results may differ from those projected in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties (some of which are beyond the control of the Company) and are subject to change based upon various factors, including but not limited to the following risks and uncertainties: changes in the demand for the Company's insurance products, inflation and general economic conditions, including general market risks associated with the Company's investment portfolio; the accuracy and adequacy of the Company's pricing methodologies; catastrophes in the markets served by the Company; uncertainties related to estimates, assumptions and projections generally; the possibility that actual loss experience may vary adversely from the actuarial estimates made to determine the Company's loss reserves in general; the Company's ability to obtain and the timing of the approval of premium rate changes for insurance policies issued in the states where it operates; legislation adverse to the automobile or homeowners insurance industry or business generally that may be enacted in the states where the Company operates; the Company's success in managing its business in non-California states; the presence of competitors with greater financial resources and the impact of competitive pricing and marketing efforts; the Company's ability to successfully allocate the resources used in the states with reduced or exited operations to its operations in other states; changes in driving patterns and loss trends; acts of war and terrorist activities; effects of changing climate conditions; pandemics, epidemics, widespread health emergencies, or outbreaks of infectious diseases; court decisions and trends in litigation and health care and auto repair costs; heightened global trade barriers or restrictions; and legal, cybersecurity, regulatory and litigation risks. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as the result of new information, future events or otherwise. For a more detailed discussion of some of the foregoing risks and uncertainties, see the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission on February11, 2025.
MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIESSUMMARY OF OPERATING RESULTS(000's except per-share amounts and ratios)(unaudited) Three Months Ended June 30, Six Months Ended June 30, 2025 2024 2025 2024Revenues:Net premiums earned $ 1,366,738 $ 1,236,024 $ 2,649,808 $ 2,402,703Net investment income 78,759 68,970 160,238 133,989Net realized investment gains 23,480 2,899 46,801 41,090Other 8,908 (2,899) 14,916 1,298Total revenues 1,477,885 1,304,994 2,871,763 2,579,080Expenses:Losses and loss adjustment expenses 940,037 936,714 2,160,850 1,840,679Policy acquisition costs 227,880 203,682 456,601 399,722Other operating expenses 96,025 81,702 175,478 158,790Interest 7,195 7,799 14,383 15,572Total expenses 1,271,137 1,229,897 2,807,312 2,414,763Income before income taxes 206,748 75,097 64,451 164,317Income tax expense 40,276 12,529 6,306 28,287Net income $ 166,472 $ 62,568 $ 58,145 $ 136,030Basic average shares outstanding 55,389 55,371 55,389 55,371Diluted average shares outstanding 55,389 55,375 55,389 55,373Basic Per Share DataNet income $ 3.01 $ 1.13 $ 1.05 $ 2.46Net realized investment gains, net of tax $ 0.33 $ 0.04 $ 0.67 $ 0.59Diluted Per Share DataNet income $ 3.01 $ 1.13 $ 1.05 $ 2.46Net realized investment gains, net of tax $ 0.33 $ 0.04 $ 0.67 $ 0.59Operating Ratios-GAAP BasisLoss ratio 68.8% 75.8% 81.5% 76.6%Expense ratio 23.7% 23.1% 23.9% 23.3%Combined ratio 92.5% 98.9% 105.4% 99.9%
MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIESCONDENSED BALANCE SHEETS AND OTHER INFORMATION(000's except per-share amounts and ratios) June 30, 2025 December 31, 2024 (unaudited)ASSETSInvestments, at fair value:Fixed maturity securities (amortized cost $5,053,927; $4,982,459) $ 4,993,829 $ 4,913,378Equity securities (cost $611,054; $795,068) 687,652 879,175Short-term investments (cost $281,752; $283,792) 281,766 283,817Total investments 5,963,247 6,076,370Cash 1,122,252 720,257Receivables:Premiums 756,554 697,176Allowance for credit losses on premiums receivable (6,300) (6,400)Premiums receivable, net of allowance for credit losses 750,254 690,776Accrued investment income 66,949 67,630Other 97,721 62,118Total receivables 914,924 820,524Reinsurance recoverables (net of allowance for credit losses $559; $0) 390,717 28,613Deferred policy acquisition costs 349,145 335,332Fixed assets, net 145,681 138,177Operating lease right-of-use assets 15,602 13,407Deferred income taxes 53,802 45,854Goodwill 42,796 42,796Other intangible assets, net 7,254 7,682Other assets 77,607 81,620Total assets $ 9,083,027 $ 8,310,632LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITYLoss and loss adjustment expense reserves $ 3,612,160 $ 3,152,031Unearned premiums 2,184,846 2,039,830Notes payable 574,327 574,128Accounts payable and accrued expenses 468,310 417,765Operating lease liabilities 15,845 13,580Current income taxes 37,946 20,752Other liabilities 220,096 146,022Shareholders' equity 1,969,497 1,946,524Total liabilities and shareholders' equity $ 9,083,027 $ 8,310,632OTHER INFORMATIONCommon stock shares outstanding 55,389 55,389Book value per share $ 35.56 $ 35.14Statutory surplus (a) $2.02 billion $2.03 billionNet premiums written to surplus ratio (a) 2.74 2.65Debt to total capital ratio (b) 22.6% 22.8%Portfolio duration (including all short-term instruments) (a) (c) 4.3 years 3.4 yearsPolicies-in-force (company-wide “PIF”) (a)Personal Auto PIF 1,030 1,019Homeowners PIF 859 852Commercial Auto PIF 36 39
(a) Unaudited.(b) Debt to Debt plus Shareholders' Equity (Debt at face value).(c) Modified duration reflecting anticipated early calls.
SUPPLEMENTAL SCHEDULES(000's except per-share amounts and ratios)(unaudited) Three Months Ended June 30, Six Months Ended June 30, 2025 2024 2025 2024Reconciliations of Comparable GAAP Measures to Operating Measures (a)Net premiums earned $ 1,366,738 $ 1,236,024 $ 2,649,808 $ 2,402,703Change in net unearned premiums 114,069 119,436 145,380 237,741Net premiums written $ 1,480,807 $ 1,355,460 $ 2,795,188 $ 2,640,444Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses $ 940,037 $ 936,714 $ 2,160,850 $ 1,840,679Change in net loss and loss adjustment expense reserves (41,322) (117,221) (326,434) (192,639)Paid losses and loss adjustment expenses $ 898,715 $ 819,493 $ 1,834,416 $ 1,648,040Net income $ 166,472 $ 62,568 $ 58,145 $ 136,030Less: Net realized investment gains 23,480 2,899 46,801 41,090Tax on net realized investment gains (b) 4,931 609 9,828 8,629Net realized investment gains, net of tax 18,549 2,290 36,973 32,461Operating income $ 147,923 $ 60,278 $ 21,172 $ 103,569Per diluted share:Net income $ 3.01 $ 1.13 $ 1.05 $ 2.46Less: Net realized investment gains, net of tax 0.33 0.04 0.67 0.59Operating income (c) $ 2.67 $ 1.09 $ 0.38 $ 1.87Combined ratio 105.4% 99.9%Effect of estimated prior periods' loss development 1.8% (0.3)%Combined ratio-accident period basis 107.2% 99.6%
(a) See “Information Regarding GAAP and Non-GAAP Measures.”(b) Based on federal statutory rate of 21%.(c) Operating income per diluted share for the three months ended June 30, 2025 does not sum due to rounding.
Information Regarding GAAP and Non-GAAP Measures
The Company has presented information within this document containing operating measures which in management's opinion provide investors with useful, industry specific information to help them evaluate, and perform meaningful comparisons of, the Company's performance, but that may not be presented in accordance with GAAP. These measures are not intended to replace, and should be read in conjunction with, the GAAP financial results.
Net income (loss) is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income (loss). Operating income (loss) is net income (loss) excluding realized investment gains and losses, net of tax. Operating income (loss) is used by management along with the other components of net income (loss) to assess the Company's performance. Management uses operating income (loss) as an important measure to evaluate the results of the Company's insurance business. Management believes that operating income (loss) provides investors with a valuable measure of the Company's ongoing performance as it reveals trends in the Company's insurance business that may be obscured by the effect of net realized investment gains and losses. Realized investment gains and losses may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by external economic developments such as capital market conditions. Accordingly, operating income (loss) highlights the results from ongoing operations and the underlying profitability of the Company's core insurance business. Operating income (loss), which is provided as supplemental information and should not be considered as a substitute for net income (loss), does not reflect the overall profitability of the Company's business. It should be read in conjunction with the GAAP financial results. See “Supplemental Schedules” above for a reconciliation of net income (loss) to operating income (loss).
Net premiums earned, the most directly comparable GAAP measure to net premiums written, represents the portion of premiums written that is recognized as revenue in the financial statements for the periods presented and earned on a pro-rata basis over the term of the policies. Net premiums written is a statutory financial measure which represents the premiums charged on policies issued during a fiscal period less any applicable reinsurance. Net premiums written is designed to determine production levels and is meant as supplemental information and not intended to replace net premiums earned. Such information should be read in conjunction with the GAAP financial results. See “Supplemental Schedules” above for a reconciliation of net premiums earned to net premiums written.
Incurred losses and loss adjustment expensesis the most directly comparable GAAP measure topaid losses and loss adjustment expenses. Paid losses and loss adjustment expenses excludes the effects of changes in the loss reserve accounts. Paid losses and loss adjustment expenses is provided as supplemental information and is not intended to replace incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses. It should be read in conjunction with the GAAP financial results. See “Supplemental Schedules” above for a reconciliation of incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses to paid losses and loss adjustment expenses.
Combined ratiois the most directly comparable measure to combined ratio-accident period basis. Combined ratio-accident period basis is computed as the difference between two GAAP operating ratios: the combined ratio and prior accident periods'loss development ratio. Management believes that combined ratio-accident period basis is useful to investors and it is used to reveal the trends in the Company's results of operations that may be obscured by development on prior accident periods'loss reserves. Combined ratio-accident period basis is meant as supplemental information and is not intended to replace the GAAP combined ratio. It should be read in conjunction with the GAAP financial results. See “Supplemental Schedules” above for a reconciliation of GAAP combined ratio to combined ratio-accident period basis.
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