On the eve of Mongolia's first-ever parliamentary vote of confidence in a sitting prime minister, new polling shows that voters overwhelmingly back Prime Minister L. Oyun-Erdene and reject any shift toward a presidential system.
The nationally representative poll, conducted by Sancrox Political Advisory from 28 to 30 May 2025, shows that 63% of Mongolian adults want the Prime Minister to “stay on and implement the National Wealth Fund,” compared to 31% who do not and 6% who are undecided.
It also finds that 53% of voters believe MPs should support the Prime Minister and his government in the confidence vote, versus 37% who think MPs should vote “no confidence” and 10% who cannot say.
Additional findings include:
— 87% demand that the vote be held publicly, with only 11% willing to allow a secret ballot.
— 74% want the President to remain limited to a single term, compared to 20% who would support a second term.
— 54% prefer a parliamentary system under the current Prime Minister, while just 32% would opt for a presidential system under the current President.
— More generally, 52% would prefer Mongolia remain a parliamentary democracy, and 41% would prefer for Mongolia to become a presidential democracy.
— 51% would rather the Prime Minister stay on with his coalition government, versus 38% who prefer an MPP-only government with a new president-appointed prime minister.
— 67% of voters would prefer a coalition government, to 26% who would prefer for the MPP to govern alone.
These figures demonstrate that, as the vote of confidence approaches, public opinion remains in favor of continuity under Prime Minister Oyun-Erdene's coalition. Voters not only support his economic agenda – most notably the National Wealth Fund – but also oppose expansion of presidential powers.
Sancrox Political Advisory is a leading international polling and strategy firm, providing political insight and public opinion research across the globe.
Findings
Representative poll of n = 1,140 Mongolian adults. Fieldwork conducted 28-30 May 2025.
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SOURCE Sancrox Political Advisory
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